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Posted on February 6, 2010 - by Venik

Sukhoi Stealth Fighter’s First Flight

Defense Featured Russia

As many of you already know, last week the Sukhoi T-50 stealth fighter prototype – Russia’s long-awaited answer to Lockheed-Martin’s F-22 – completed it’s maiden 47-minute flight from the manufacturer’s test airfield in the Russian Far East. The single-seat aircraft features low-observable geometry, two widely-separated engines with 3-D thrust-vectoring nozzles,  internal weapons bays, all-movable angled vertical stabilizers, and variable-incidence LERX. The official Sukhoi video of the first flight is available here.

A total of three prototypes have been completed so far: static, runway testing and flying. Photos of two of them have been published.  The black lines on the vertical stabilizers visible on some photos are pressure feedback sensors used to fine-tune the aircraft’s fly-by-wire system. The large internal weapons bays are about six meters long. A very large HUD can be seen on some photos.

The Sukhoi T-50 (aka PAK FA) has a large proportion of all-new systems and components. The aircraft uses new Saturn engines, new integrated fly-by-wire system, new APAA radar, and a new optical detection pod. The aircraft is expected to enter service in 2015. Nothing is known at the moment about the aircraft’s target production cost. The PAK FA is expected to be produced jointly with India.

Even though most of T-50’s technical characteristics remain classified, some performance figures can be estimated based on the Russian Air Force requirements for the PAK FA project, the engine diameter, the size and key features of the airframe. The question currently burning holes through many aviation-related forums is: how would T-50 compare to its main rival – the F-22 Raptor? It is important to keep in mind that F-22 has been flying for a number of years now. The T-50 was deigned to outperform the F-22 is certain aspects considered to be key by the Russian Air Force.

The new Sukhoi fighter is about the same size and weight as the F-22, but T-50’s new Saturn engines are more powerful. This would give the Russian fighter higher thrust-to-weight ratio, faster climb rate, and higher top speed. Because of T-50’s 3-D thrust vectoring, all-movable vertical stabilizers and large variable-incidence leading edge root extensions the aircraft is expected to be more maneuverable than the F-22. The Sukhoi plane also has a higher-caliber cannon and more weapons stations – both internal and external.

Having said this, it is definitely too early to seriously compare the F-22 to the T-50. Nothing – not even the model name – is known about T-50’s new engines. Very little is know about the airframe materials and their proportions. These two missing key pieces of information make estimating T-50’s performance a highly theoretical exercise.  Superimposing the basic shapes of the F-22 and the T-50, it is apparent that, while similar in size, the Russian fighter has a much greater combined area of control surfaces. The T-50 also has more internal space for weapons and fuel, as well as larger air intakes for its more powerful engines.

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Posted on January 21, 2010 - by Venik

Oracle vs. MySQL

Computers Economy Featured Society

Sun Microsystems – the creator of Solaris operating system and manufacturer of my favorite computers – is being acquired by Oracle – the maker of the world’s leading commercial database software that works best on Sun servers. This seems like a good deal for both Oracle and Sun. Unfortunately, this merger will be very bad news for the rest of us should it be allowed to go through.

You see, Sun owns the trademark, copyright and patents for the most popular open-source database software – MySQL. This software is used by thousands of free and commercial applications, including just about every Web content management and blogging software out there, including WordPress, Joomla, Facebook and Tweeter. If Oracle acquires Sun, it will get full control over MySQL.

Despite assurances from Oracle that the MySQL project will not be killed, only idiots seriously believe that Oracle will continue supporting development of free database software that is in direct competition with its own overpriced cash cow. Should Oracle get its greasy stubby fingers on MySQL patents, the best case scenario would be that the funding for future MySQL development will quickly dry up and the project would slowly starve to death. The worst case scenario, of course, would be that Oracle will use its control of MySQL trademark and patents to simply kill this project on the spot.

Either way, open-source software as a concept will experience a massive setback. Development of many poplar applications that use MySQL will grind to a halt. Nobody wants to invest time and money into free software projects that rely on a database with unclear future. Even if Oracle does the unthinkable and continues to develop MySQL at the expense of its own database software, MySQL’s position will always be perceived as too unstable with the goat (Oracle) guarding the cabbage patch (MySQL).

Before Oracle’s Sun acquisition can go through, the deal needs to be approved by antitrust authorities in the US, the EU, Russia and China. The US approval is already in Oracle’s pocket (with much of the US government), the EU approval, according to latest news reports, is virtually assured. Chinese authorities did not voice any opposition to Oracle’s plans. The only thing standing between your online happiness and the giant steamroller that is Oracle is Russia’s Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS).

Russia’s President is a big fan of the open-source software movement, of which MySQL is a key element. Oracle’s plans vis-à-vis Sun Microsystems is a direct threat to Russia’s budding IT services sector – one of the key areas of economic diversification preached by President Medvedev. Russia would be shooting itself in the foot by allowing Oracle to control MySQL.

Hopefully, Russian antitrust regulators will see through Oracle’s thinly-veiled plans to cut off MySQL’s balls. If Russia moves quickly and launches a serious investigation of the proposed acquisition deal, there is a good chance that the EU will reconsider its position as well: should Russia manage to beat some concessions out of Oracle, Brussels will end up looking rather silly because it allowed the deal to go unchallenged. Politics aside, even if you never heard of MySQL, you are using it almost every day. You are using it right now by reading this blog. If you think there should be more good free software, sign the anti-Oracle petition launched by MySQL’s creator on his site. He already collected over 30,000 signatures, which will be sent to the governments of EU, Russia and China in hopes that common sense prevails over corporate greed. Fat chance, but who knows…

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Posted on October 7, 2009 - by Venik

Your Savings and the Decline of the Dollar

Economy Featured Personal Society

About a year ago I wrote about the plans Russia and other oil-producing nations have for breaking the tie between the price of oil and the value of the dollar. For years Russia and OPEC countries have been tiptoeing around this issue until the recent massive collapse of the US banking industry forced their plans to the surface. A few days ago The Independent revealed some details of the plan to abandon the dollar: “Gulf Arabs are planning — along with China, Russia, Japan and France — to end dollar dealings for oil, moving instead to a basket of currencies including the Japanese yen, Chinese yuan, the euro, gold, and a new, unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Cooperation Council.” (The Independent, Oct. 6, 2009)

The original reason for switching oil trade from dollars to a composite currency was to control the inflation – the single biggest economic problem facing Russia, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and other major oil producers. A lot has changed in this line of reasoning during the past year. The global crisis in the real estate, banking and lending industries originated in the US and caused a global economic recession. Abandoning dollar as the predominant currency for oil trade is now only a part of the overall strategy. The dollar is also to be replaced as the primary reserve currency.  To quote World Bank President Robert Zoellick, “The United States would be mistaken to take for granted the dollar’s place as the world’s predominant reserve currency.”

Trouble comes in threes, common wisdom holds, and the final jab at the dollar’s reputation and value comes from Washington. In an attempt to deal with the breakdown of lending infrastructure, the US government flooded the markets with liquidity. The resulting drop in the value of the dollar is being already felt by the average US consumer. In April of 2008 the US savings rate was at zero (actually, it was below zero, since US consumers were getting deeper into debt), but recession panic set in, forcing people to start saving. By the end of June the savings rate reached nearly 7% – highest in almost fifteen years. Now the recession is still very much in progress but the savings rate in the US has declined to only 3% and continues to drop.

This actually makes perfect sense once we take into the account the erosive effect of massive liquidity injections and the unreasonably optimistic economic outlook adopted by the US government. Idiots resumed spending their hard-earned cash on useless trinkets, believing the economy is recovering, while realists see no reason to keep their savings in dollars just to lose everything to the inevitable sharp rise in inflation. The result of this downward movement of the dollar is best represented by the price of gold, as the aforementioned realists decided their savings will look better in yellow than in green.

Ordinarily, the price of gold goes down, as the price of oil goes up and vice versa. But these are extraordinary times. After collapsing to around $35/barrel in the beginning of 2009, the price of oil has since exceeded $70. During the same period of time, the price of gold went up from around $750/oz to nearly $1050 just yesterday. And so we have a 100% increase in the price of oil and a concurrent 40% growth in the price of gold. In retrospect, investing much of my savings in gold at the end of October of 2008 was not a bad move on my part. At the end of September of last year I advised you to invest in gold. Hopefully, you were paying attention.

So how quickly should we expect the Russians and the Chinese – the driving force behind the move to abandon the dollar – to act on their plans? Probably not too quickly. Most of the “anti-dollar” coalition is still heavily dependent on the greenback. They are holding trillions of dollars in currency reserves and they need time to convert their assets without creating a panic. Too rapid of a drop in the value of the dollar is not in anyone’s interests. At the same time, Russia, China and co. cannot afford a leisurely pace either, as the US is guaranteed to put up significant resistance.

According to The Independent, the process of moving away from the dollar is to be completed by 2018. It is my expectation that in reality this shift will come much sooner – perhaps in the next three years. So is this a good time to panic and start buying gold and foreign currency? Perhaps not, but I would recommend moving some of your long-term savings into short-term accounts: something you can cash easily should the need arise. Here’s another idea: open a savings account in a European bank and keep some of your money there in the form of foreign currency. Perhaps you should even open an account with a gold dealer of your choice. Place a small order just so that you know how the process works. It is not a time to panic – not yet – but it is the perfect opportunity to lay down some groundwork.

Whatever you do, you have to promise me one thing: you will never listen to CNN’s “money experts”.

Join the forum discussion on this post - (1) Posts
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